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Union Berlin logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
St Pauli

Becker (45'), Voglsammer (75')
Becker (64'), Khedira (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kyereh (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Union Berlin and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 St Pauli

St Pauli will be full of confidence after beating Dortmund in the last round of the competition, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors here. It would certainly not be a shock to see St Pauli triumph, but we believe that the home side's extra quality will allow them to win this game to progress to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
38.16%24.53%37.31%
Both teams to score 59.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55%43.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15%65.85%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34%22.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7%56.3%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9%23.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05%56.95%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 38.16%
    St Pauli 37.31%
    Draw 24.53%
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.45%
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.16%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-1 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.31%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs St Pauli

Union Berlin
73.8%
Draw
21.4%
St Pauli
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
St Pauli
3-2
Union Berlin
Allagui (23'), Meier (62', 90' pen.)
Allagui (4'), Flum (33'), Knoll (84')
Promel (84'), Abdullahi (86')
Schmiedebach (12'), Friedrich (37'), Lenz (60')
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
4-1
St Pauli
Promel (44'), Gogia (45'), Andersson (57', 88')
Prince Redondo (76')
Veerman (71')
Flum (31'), Buchtmann (38'), Sahin (64')
Apr 14, 2018 12pm
St Pauli
0-1
Union Berlin

Buballa (71'), Sahin (90')
Hedlund (81')
Friedrich (5'), Kroos (45'), Hartel (87')
Friedrich (56')
Nov 4, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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