![Union Berlin logo Union Berlin logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/41/unblog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin2 - 1St Pauli
We said: Union Berlin 2-1 St Pauli
St Pauli will be full of confidence after beating Dortmund in the last round of the competition, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors here. It would certainly not be a shock to see St Pauli triumph, but we believe that the home side's extra quality will allow them to win this game to progress to the semi-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | St Pauli |
38.16% | 24.53% | 37.31% |
Both teams to score 59.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.55% | 43.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.15% | 65.85% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% | 22.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% | 56.3% |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% | 23.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% | 56.95% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin 38.16%
St Pauli 37.31%
Draw 24.53%
Union Berlin | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.31% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs St Pauli
Union Berlin
73.8%Draw
21.4%St Pauli
4.8%42
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 23:35:33
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
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Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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