We said: St Pauli 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund are unlikely to ease off in their pursuit of some consistent form ahead of their defence of the DFB-Pokal trophy and Bundesliga title challenge. As a result, we are expecting a strong lineup that will comfortably see off St Pauli on Tuesday, with the hosts focusing on their promotion push anyway. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 31.48% | 23.88% | 44.63% |
| Both teams to score 60.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% | 41.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% | 64.09% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% | 25.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.55% | 60.45% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% | 18.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.57% | 50.42% |
| Score Analysis |
St Pauli 31.48%
Borussia Dortmund 44.63%
Draw 23.87%
| St Pauli | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.48% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.37% Total : 44.63% |
How you voted: St Pauli vs Dortmund
St Pauli
5.1%Draw
10.1%Borussia Dortmund
84.8%79
Head to Head
Form Guide
