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Leverkusen logo
DFL-Supercup | Final
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
Stuttgart

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Stuttgart

Boniface (11'), Schick (88')
Alonso (43'), Xhaka (60'), Tapsoba (71'), Boniface (81'), Wirtz (85'), Frimpong (86')
Terrier (37')
FT
(aet)
Millot (15'), Undav (63')
Stiller (44'), Demirovic (71'), Millot (78'), Stenzel (82'), Chabot (86')
B. Leverkusen win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFL-Supercup clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Betis
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We say: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Stuttgart

 Although Leverkusen have struggled for results in their pre-season fixtures, they have retained their best players and will have the opportunity to build on the success of last season. Stuttgart could also find it difficult to adjust to the absence of key players like Guirassy, and it would not be surprising if they struggled on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%).

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
53.46% (1.203 1.2) 21.35% (-0.243 -0.24) 25.19% (-0.956 -0.96)
Both teams to score 64.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97% (0.271 0.27)34.03% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.1% (0.305 0.31)55.9% (-0.304 -0.3)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.461 0.46)12.95% (-0.458 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.931 0.93)39.42% (-0.927 -0.93)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.532 -0.53)25.85% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-0.728 -0.73)60.82% (0.73 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 53.46%
    Stuttgart 25.19%
    Draw 21.35%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.141 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.074 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (0.069 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 53.46%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 25.19%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen
84.6%
Draw
1.5%
Stuttgart
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Stuttgart
Adli (61'), Andrich (90+6')
Palacios (31'), Alonso (32'), Odilon (41'), Andrich (58'), Alonso (70'), Hincapie (83')
Fuhrich (47'), Undav (56')
Undav (41'), Millot (69'), Mittelstadt (77')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
B. Leverkusen
3-2
Stuttgart
Andrich (50'), Adli (66'), Tah (90')
Andrich (18'), Frimpong (34')
Anton (11'), Fuhrich (58')
Mittelstadt (26')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Guirassy (57' pen.)
Palacios (70' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Stuttgart
Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
> Preview
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