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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With only the reigning champions Bayern scoring more goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, it would be a major surprise if those in attendance at MHPArena and watching on from home are not treated to plenty of goals on Sunday. Wirtz's potential absence through injury would be a major blow for Leverkusen, who may need to avoid defeat to return to the top of the table. Stuttgart are yet to draw a league game this season, but we can envisage them sharing the spoils for the first time this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
30.18% (0.108 0.11) 25.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 44.7% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.161 0.16)47.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.148 0.15)70.07% (-0.154 -0.15)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.15300000000001 0.15)29.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (0.19 0.19)65.52% (-0.196 -0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 30.18%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.7%
    Draw 25.12%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.7%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart
21.4%
Draw
25.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
53.6%
84
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Guirassy (57' pen.)
Palacios (70' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Stuttgart
Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
B. Leverkusen
5-2
Stuttgart
Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
Kalajdzic (50', 77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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