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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 With only the reigning champions Bayern scoring more goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, it would be a major surprise if those in attendance at MHPArena and watching on from home are not treated to plenty of goals on Sunday. Wirtz's potential absence through injury would be a major blow for Leverkusen, who may need to avoid defeat to return to the top of the table. Stuttgart are yet to draw a league game this season, but we can envisage them sharing the spoils for the first time this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
30.18% (0.108 0.11) 25.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 44.7% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.161 0.16)47.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.148 0.15)70.07% (-0.154 -0.15)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.15300000000001 0.15)29.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (0.19 0.19)65.52% (-0.196 -0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 30.18%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.7%
    Draw 25.12%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.7%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart
21.4%
Draw
25.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
53.6%
84
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> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
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> Preview
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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