Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
0 - 1
Stuttgart

Demirovic (63'), Mbabu (76'), Iago (82'), Gouweleeuw (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guirassy (48')
Anton (42'), Woo-yeong (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Both teams still have something to play for heading into their final two Bundesliga fixtures, although there is more riding on this contest for Augsburg as they look to boost their hopes of a top-seven finish. However, we expect high-flying Stuttgart to take advantage of the hosts' poor form and follow up their impressive win over Bayern Munich with another victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
32.18% ( 0.01)	22.91% ( 0.02)	44.91% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 64.23% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.28% (

-0.08)

36.72% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.12% (

-0.09)

58.88% (

0.09)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

-0.04)

22.76% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.55% (

-0.05)

56.45% (

0.05)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.04)

16.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.16% (

-0.07)

46.84% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 32.18%

Stuttgart 44.91%

Draw 22.91%

Augsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.18%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.91%