Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 59.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.