Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Den Bosch	Draw	Willem II
18.17% ( -0.02)	21.32% ( 0.07)	60.5% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88% (

-0.35)

43.12% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48% (

-0.35)

65.52% (

0.36)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64% (

-0.23)

37.35% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.86% (

-0.22)

74.14% (

0.23)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.19% (

-0.13)

13.81% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.85% (

-0.26)

41.15% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Den Bosch 18.17%

Willem II 60.5%

Draw 21.31%

Den Bosch	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.31%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 60.5%