Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.