Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and Heracles.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 4-0 Dordrecht
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Heracles 3-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Heracles |
17.48% ( 1.2) | 21.18% ( 1.25) | 61.33% ( -2.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
