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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Jan Louwers Stadion

FC Eindhoven
5 - 1
Jong Ajax

Amevor (22'), Rottier (35'), van Doorm (64'), Dahlhaus (76'), Sanoh (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hlynsson (31')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 0-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
49.69% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.09% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.22% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (0.093999999999994 0.09)40.56% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (0.096000000000004 0.1)62.94% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.52% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)46.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.139 0.14)27.84% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.175 0.18)63.44% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    FC Eindhoven 49.69%
    Jong Ajax 27.22%
    Draw 23.08%
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax

FC Eindhoven
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Jong Ajax
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Banel (86')
Warmerdam (58')
Rottier (47')
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
2-2
FC Eindhoven
Danilo (37' pen.), Hansen (82')
Hansen (53'), Llansana (66')
Sleegers (12'), Van der Sande (46')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
1-3
Jong Ajax
Racz (90+3')
Sleegers (52'), Amevor (90+5')
Amevor (90+5')
Jensen (38', 90+1'), Taylor (41')
Martha (58'), Baas (60')
Apr 16, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
3-0
Jong Ajax
Pozo (56'), Peijnenburg (63'), Donkor (90')
Seedorf (5'), Peijnenburg (76'), van Kleef (87')

Rasmussen (18')
Dec 7, 2020 5.45pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Rensch (34')
Regeer (45')
Van Kleef (90' pen.)
Peijnenburg (41'), van Son (60'), De Keersmaecker (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam22144451262546
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior22126440211942
3Cambuur22122830191138
4Dordrecht2210753831737
5ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag2197536261034
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap219664233933
7Den BoschDen Bosch219663427733
8Roda JC229672828033
9EmmenEmmen219573326732
10Helmond SportHelmond219483033-331
11TelstarTelstar227873230229
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven228593137-629
13MVV MaastrichtMVV226883533226
14Jong AZJong AZ2275103640-426
15TOP OssOss226791735-1825
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax2266102827124
17VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2264122337-1422
18Jong PSVJong PSV2263133344-1121
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2128112040-2014
20Vitesse2247112953-24-8


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