Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
