Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.87%) and 2-3 (5.57%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.