Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 0-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.