Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.19) 
