Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
NAC Breda5 - 1Jong AZ
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Jong AZ.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oss 1-2 NAC Breda
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Jong AZ 1-1 Helmond
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
40.41% ( -0.02) | 24.98% ( -0.01) | 34.6% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( 0.03) | 45.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( 0.03) | 68.16% ( -0.03) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0) | 22.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.81% ( 0) | 56.19% ( -0.01) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.03) | 25.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.38% ( 0.04) | 60.62% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
NAC Breda 40.41%
Jong AZ 34.6%
Draw 24.98%
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.6% |
How you voted: NAC Breda vs Jong AZ
NAC Breda
40.0%Draw
40.0%Jong AZ
20.0%5
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Jong AZ
4-0
NAC Breda
Barasi (18'), Allouch (51'), Griffith (60'), Meerdink (87')
Stam (36')
Stam (36')
Feb 21, 2022 7pm
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
Mar 8, 2021 8pm
