MX23RW : Monday, December 23 18:07:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Jong Ajax

Kostons (3', 13')
Kostons (42'), Coomans (64'), Matthys (90+1')
Souren (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Misehouy (87')
Gooijer (42'), Misehouy (90+1'), Agougil (90+5'), Vos (90+4')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 MVV
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Cambuur 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
50.48% (0.123 0.12) 21.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 66% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)33.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.02% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)13.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (0.058 0.06)40.7% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)23.62% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.123 -0.12)57.71% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.48%
    Jong Ajax 27.85%
    Draw 21.67%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.85%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
4-2
MVV
Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 37
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
Jong Ajax
3-1
MVV
Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Jong Ajax
4-3
MVV
Unuvar (12'), Musampa (39'), Martha (53'), Hansen (76')
Baas (37')
Naudts (29', 87'), Mickels (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam20124444251940
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior20116339201939
3Dordrecht2010643729836
4Den BoschDen Bosch2096534221233
5De GraafschapDe Graafschap209564132932
6Cambuur2010282819932
7EmmenEmmen209563224832
8ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag208753325831
9Helmond SportHelmond209472930-131
10Roda JC198652524130
11TelstarTelstar206863129226
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven207582833-526
13MVV MaastrichtMVV205873032-223
14Jong AZJong AZ2064103338-522
15TOP OssOss205781633-1722
16Jong PSVJong PSV2063113339-621
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax194692024-418
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2044121836-1816
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2027111939-2013
20Vitesse204792845-17-8


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