Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
50.36% ( 0.03)	23.56% ( 0.01)	26.09% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.57% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.38% (

-0.07)

43.62% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.99% (

-0.07)

66.01% (

0.08)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59% (

-0.01)

17.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.15% (

-0.03)

47.85% (

0.04)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0.06)

30.29% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0.08)

66.47% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 50.36%

Jong FC Utrecht 26.09%

Draw 23.55%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.09%