Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and MVV Maastricht.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
45.4% | 22.57% | 32.03% |
Both teams to score 65.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.91% | 35.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.9% | 57.09% |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% | 16.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.64% | 45.35% |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.93% | 22.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.59% | 55.4% |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 45.4%
MVV Maastricht 32.03%
Draw 22.57%
SBV Excelsior | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-3 @ 0.95% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.4% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 6.77% 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.4% Total : 32.03% |
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2020 7pm
Oct 18, 2019 7pm