Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 21.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.