Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.62%) and 3-1 (5.57%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.