Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 6, 2022 at 7pm UK
SBV Excelsior2 - 2NAC Breda
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | NAC Breda |
55.72% | 21.03% | 23.25% |
Both teams to score 63.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.42% | 34.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.48% | 56.52% |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.54% | 12.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.58% | 38.42% |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% | 27.62% |