Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 6, 2022 at 7pm UK
SBV Excelsior2 - 2NAC Breda
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 55.72% | 21.03% | 23.25% |
| Both teams to score 63.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.42% | 34.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.48% | 56.52% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.54% | 12.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.58% | 38.42% |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% | 27.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.84% | 63.16% |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 55.72%
NAC Breda 23.25%
Draw 21.03%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 7.46% 1-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.96% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.49% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.62% Total : 23.25% |
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2021 7pm
NAC Breda
4-1
SBV Excelsior
Duku (64')
Nieuwpoort (45+1')
Nieuwpoort (45+1')
Apr 23, 2021 5.45pm
NAC Breda
1-2
SBV Excelsior
El Allouchi (45' pen.)
Adilehou (15')
Adilehou (15')
Niemeijer (55', 60')
Mendes Moreira (75'), Skogen (77')
Mendes Moreira (75'), Skogen (77')
Jan 3, 2021 11.15am
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Sep 20, 2019 7pm
Form Guide
