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Kilmarnock logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rugby Park
Barrow

Kilmarnock
5 - 0
Barrow

Wright (25'), Armstrong (47' pen., 65' pen.), Watkins (49'), Murray (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Kilmarnock and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 18 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawBarrow
38.61% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 26.35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 35.04% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.96% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)51.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.51% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)26.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.26% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.064999999999998 0.06)63.97% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 38.62%
    Barrow 35.04%
    Draw 26.35%
KilmarnockDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.62%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.04%

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