EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton1 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: West Brom 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Middlesbrough
This is a difficult match to call, as both managers will make a number of changes. Bolton have certainly enjoyed the stronger start to the campaign, but we believe that Boro's superior quality will allow them to progress to the third round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 37.89% | 24.59% ( -0) | 37.52% |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% | 43.72% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% | 66.11% ( -0) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -0) | 22.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.32% | 56.68% ( -0) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( -0) | 23.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.03% | 56.96% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers 37.89%
Middlesbrough 37.52%
Draw 24.59%
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.52% |
How you voted: Bolton vs Middlesbrough
Bolton Wanderers
44.2%Draw
23.3%Middlesbrough
32.6%43
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2019 8pm
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Middlesbrough
2-0
Bolton
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Form Guide
