EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Charles (23')
Forrester (51'), Thomason (58'), Iredale (70'), Ashworth (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Crooks (33'), McGree (90+1'), Rogers (90+4')
Jones (47'), Crooks (48')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: West Brom 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Middlesbrough

This is a difficult match to call, as both managers will make a number of changes. Bolton have certainly enjoyed the stronger start to the campaign, but we believe that Boro's superior quality will allow them to progress to the third round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Middlesbrough
37.89%	24.59% ( -0)	37.52%

Both teams to score 59.27% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.28%

43.72% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.89%

66.11% (

-0)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

-0)

22.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32%

56.68% (

-0)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

-0)

23.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03%

56.96% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 37.89%

Middlesbrough 37.52%

Draw 24.59%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.89%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.52%