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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Millwall


Howson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, July 29 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Even though this is the opening weekend, the pressure is on Boro to make a fast start. We feel that may not necessarily help them going forward, yet Carrick's side may just about edge an hard-fought contest at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
39.58% (-1.703 -1.7) 26.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.23% (1.664 1.66)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.313 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.211 0.21)51.17% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.183 0.18)73.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.795 -0.8)25.39% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-1.104 -1.1)60.2% (1.101 1.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (1.167 1.17)28.48% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (1.446 1.45)64.25% (-1.45 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.58%
    Millwall 34.23%
    Draw 26.18%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.204 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Millwall
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Millwall
1-0
Middlesbrough
Hall (31' og.)
McNamara (35')

Bola (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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