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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Millwall


Howson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, July 29 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Even though this is the opening weekend, the pressure is on Boro to make a fast start. We feel that may not necessarily help them going forward, yet Carrick's side may just about edge an hard-fought contest at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
39.58% (-1.703 -1.7) 26.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.23% (1.664 1.66)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.313 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.211 0.21)51.17% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.183 0.18)73.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.795 -0.8)25.39% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-1.104 -1.1)60.2% (1.101 1.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (1.167 1.17)28.48% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (1.446 1.45)64.25% (-1.45 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.58%
    Millwall 34.23%
    Draw 26.18%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.204 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Millwall
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Millwall
1-0
Middlesbrough
Hall (31' og.)
McNamara (35')

Bola (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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