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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Millwall


Howson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, July 29 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Even though this is the opening weekend, the pressure is on Boro to make a fast start. We feel that may not necessarily help them going forward, yet Carrick's side may just about edge an hard-fought contest at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
39.58% (-1.703 -1.7) 26.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.23% (1.664 1.66)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.313 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.211 0.21)51.17% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.183 0.18)73.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.795 -0.8)25.39% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-1.104 -1.1)60.2% (1.101 1.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (1.167 1.17)28.48% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (1.446 1.45)64.25% (-1.45 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.58%
    Millwall 34.23%
    Draw 26.18%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.204 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Millwall
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Millwall
1-0
Middlesbrough
Hall (31' og.)
McNamara (35')

Bola (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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