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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
14.05% ( -0.04) | 21.26% ( 0) | 64.68% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.12% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.73% ( -0.1) | 50.26% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.78% ( -0.09) | 72.21% ( 0.08) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.98% ( -0.12) | 47.01% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.5% ( -0.09) | 82.5% ( 0.09) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.17% ( -0.02) | 14.83% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.87% ( -0.04) | 43.12% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 14.05% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 12.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 64.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |