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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
31.45% ( 0.01) | 25.68% ( 0) | 42.87% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.23% ( -0) | 49.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% ( 0) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( 0.01) | 29.59% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.38% ( 0.01) | 65.62% ( -0) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( -0.01) | 23.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( -0.01) | 56.94% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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