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Bolton logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barrow

Bolton
1 - 0
Barrow

Ashworth (44')
Thomason (32'), Mendes Gomes (60'), Coleman (90+3'), Iredale (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ray (43'), Warren (47'), Feely (67'), Spence (71')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
47.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)23.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (0.014999999999993 0.01)58.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.45% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 47.43%
    Barrow 25.86%
    Draw 26.69%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 47.43%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.86%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barrow

Bolton Wanderers
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Barrow
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Bolton
3-2
Barrow
Afolayan (23'), Dadi Bodvarsson (38'), Kachunga (69')
Kay (42'), Canavan (56')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Bolton
1-0
Barrow
Miller (90+4')

Brough (43'), Dixon (65')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 7
Barrow
3-3
Bolton
Taylor (1'), Jones (4'), Angus (20')
Jones (45+4'), Yoan Zouma (57'), Barry (66'), Brown (90+3')
Kioso (16'), Doyle (41'), Sarcevic (90+5')
Brockbank (28'), Comley (56')
rhs 2.0
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12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
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