MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 07:59:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Middlesbrough logo

West Brom
4 - 2
Middlesbrough

Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Middlesbrough

West Brom have looked vulnerable on the road so far this season, but back-to-back home games in the next week will hand the Baggies a real opportunity to find some consistency. Boro have not looked like the same team who threatened to catch Sheffield United in the automatic-promotion race last term, and we are expecting another loss for Boro in the Black Country. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
38.53% (-0.74 -0.74) 25.81% (0.164 0.16) 35.65% (0.577 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.493 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (-0.663 -0.66)49.41% (0.665 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (-0.598 -0.6)71.46% (0.59999999999999 0.6)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.697 -0.7)25.15% (0.698 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)59.87% (0.974 0.97)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.024999999999991 0.02)26.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.031000000000006 0.03)62.06% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 38.53%
    Middlesbrough 35.65%
    Draw 25.81%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.245 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: West Brom vs Middlesbrough

West Bromwich Albion
55.2%
Draw
31.0%
Middlesbrough
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
West Brom
1-1
Middlesbrough
Diangana (65')
Kipre (46'), Diangana (49'), Snodgrass (90+1')
Coburn (38')
McNair (24'), Peltier (30'), Jones (65'), Howson (89')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
West Brom
0-2
Middlesbrough

Livermore (57'), Phillips (69'), Austin (72'), Furlong (82')
Ayala (17'), Fletcher (93')
Howson (48'), Spence (69'), Coulson (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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