EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
We said: Bristol City 2-0 Lincoln City
Confidence levels in the Lincoln camp would have hit a new low with the weekend's FA Cup embarrassment, and meeting a higher-tier side will not help the discontent from the visiting end either.
Bristol City have not covered themselves in glory in recent weeks either, but Pearson's side should have enough quality to make it through to the next phase of the EFL Cup.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38% . A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.9%) . The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood .
Result Bristol City Draw Lincoln City 38% ( -0.04) 24.87% ( -0.01) 37.13% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.04)
54.95% ( 0.05) 45.05% ( -0.05)
32.6% ( 0.05) 67.4% ( -0.05)
76.54% ( -0) 23.46% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.53% ( -0) 57.47% ( -0)
76.08% ( 0.05) 23.92% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.86% ( 0.07) 58.13% ( -0.08)
Bristol City 38%
Lincoln City 37.13%
Draw 24.86%
Bristol City Draw Lincoln City 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38% 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.13%
How you voted: Bristol City vs Lincoln
Bristol City
Draw
Lincoln City
62
rhs 2.0
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