EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City1 - 3Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chippenham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Bristol City 2-0 Lincoln City
Confidence levels in the Lincoln camp would have hit a new low with the weekend's FA Cup embarrassment, and meeting a higher-tier side will not help the discontent from the visiting end either. Bristol City have not covered themselves in glory in recent weeks either, but Pearson's side should have enough quality to make it through to the next phase of the EFL Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Lincoln City |
38% ( -0.04) | 24.87% ( -0.01) | 37.13% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.05) | 45.05% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( 0.05) | 67.4% ( -0.05) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0) | 23.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.53% ( -0) | 57.47% ( -0) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.05) | 23.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.07) | 58.13% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Bristol City 38%
Lincoln City 37.13%
Draw 24.86%
| Bristol City | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.13% |
How you voted: Bristol City vs Lincoln
Bristol City
77.4%Draw
11.3%Lincoln City
11.3%62
Form Guide
