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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Bristol City

Akpom (47')
Giles (25'), McGree (74'), Smith (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weimann (10')
Low (89'), Vyner (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Given Bristol City's long-standing inconsistency, they may very well travel to the North East and pull off a shock win. However, we feel that Boro could improve quickly under Carrick, leading us to predict a home win, albeit in nervy circumstances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
64.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 21.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 14.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)51.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.044 0.04)73.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)44.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)47.97% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01)83.21% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 64.22%
    Bristol City 14.08%
    Draw 21.69%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 64.22%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.08%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Bristol City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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