EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley4 - 1Rochdale
The Match
Match Report
After Jake Beesley had given Rochdale a shock 1-0 lead, Jay Rodriguez ran riot at Turf Moor.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Burnley and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Rochdale |
| 43.2% | 26.11% | 30.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
