Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Burnley |
45.08% | 27.59% | 27.34% |
Both teams to score 46.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.09% | 58.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.6% | 79.4% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% | 26.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% | 61.11% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% | 37.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.75% | 74.25% |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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