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EFL Cup
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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Doncaster Rovers

Everton
3 - 0
Doncaster

McNeil (53'), Ndiaye (74'), Beto (84')
Iroegbunam (59'), Young (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Senior (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Everton and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs 4-0 Everton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Everton 3-0 Doncaster Rovers

 Rather than being condemned to a heavy defeat with no goals at the correct end of the pitch, Everton ought to make amends for their Premier League failures with their own emphatic triumph on Tuesday. Last year's EFL Cup contest between these two clubs was a close-run affair, but in front of the Goodison crowd, we can only picture Dyche's men running out straightforward winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Everton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
EvertonDrawDoncaster Rovers
41.52% (0.14 0.14) 25.18% (0.032 0.03) 33.3% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.51% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (-0.191 -0.19)47.01% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (-0.18 -0.18)69.25% (0.175 0.17)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)56.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)27.03% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.261 -0.26)62.4% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Everton 41.52%
    Doncaster Rovers 33.3%
    Draw 25.17%
EvertonDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Everton vs Doncaster

Everton
76.8%
Draw
8.8%
Doncaster Rovers
14.4%
125
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2023 8pm
Second Round
Doncaster
1-2
Everton
Ironside (44')
Roberts (85')
Beto (73'), Danjuma (88')
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