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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Newport County

Bradford
4 - 1
Newport

Kavanagh (44'), Cook (45+1'), Pointon (57'), Walker (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Charsley (65')
Evans (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 2-0 Newport County

All the pressure is on Bradford in this particular fixture, but considering they could earn a playoff position that is something they are likely to relish. With Newport being on a dreadful run of form there should be no shortage of confidence for the Bantams, who will expect to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawNewport County
50.34% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 24.85% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 24.81% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (-0.257 -0.26)50.26% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.229 -0.23)72.21% (0.227 0.23)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (-0.131 -0.13)19.97% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (-0.207 -0.21)52.14% (0.206 0.21)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.137 -0.14)34.89% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (-0.142 -0.14)71.63% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 50.33%
    Newport County 24.81%
    Draw 24.84%
Bradford CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Bradford vs Newport

Bradford City
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Newport
1-4
Bradford
Bogle (35')
Evans (72'), Drysdale (85')
Cook (14', 29', 90+1'), Tulloch (26')
Ridehalgh (84')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Newport
1-1
Bradford
Ridehalgh (61' og.)
Cook (36')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Bradford
2-0
Newport
Smallwood (7'), Chapman (53')
Banks (66')

Bennett (33'), Waite (69'), Norman (79')
Drysdale (45+5')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bradford
0-0
Newport
O'Connor (68')
Telford (67'), Street (68')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
0-0
Bradford
Cooper (71'), Baker-Richardson (90')
Ridehalgh (36'), O'Connor (45'), Watt (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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