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Championship header 2

League Two
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Newport County

Bradford
4 - 1
Newport

Kavanagh (44'), Cook (45+1'), Pointon (57'), Walker (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Charsley (65')
Evans (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 2-0 Newport County

 All the pressure is on Bradford in this particular fixture, but considering they could earn a playoff position that is something they are likely to relish. With Newport being on a dreadful run of form there should be no shortage of confidence for the Bantams, who will expect to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawNewport County
50.34% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 24.85% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 24.81% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (-0.257 -0.26)50.26% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.229 -0.23)72.21% (0.227 0.23)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (-0.131 -0.13)19.97% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (-0.207 -0.21)52.14% (0.206 0.21)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.137 -0.14)34.89% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (-0.142 -0.14)71.63% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 50.33%
    Newport County 24.81%
    Draw 24.84%
Bradford CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Bradford vs Newport

Bradford City
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Newport
1-4
Bradford
Bogle (35')
Evans (72'), Drysdale (85')
Cook (14', 29', 90+1'), Tulloch (26')
Ridehalgh (84')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Newport
1-1
Bradford
Ridehalgh (61' og.)
Cook (36')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Bradford
2-0
Newport
Smallwood (7'), Chapman (53')
Banks (66')

Bennett (33'), Waite (69'), Norman (79')
Drysdale (45+5')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bradford
0-0
Newport
O'Connor (68')
Telford (67'), Street (68')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
0-0
Bradford
Cooper (71'), Baker-Richardson (90')
Ridehalgh (36'), O'Connor (45'), Watt (82')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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