
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium

Man City3 - 2Liverpool
Reaction

Jurgen Klopp bemoans lack of VAR in Manchester City defeat
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The Match
Match Report
Liverpool's EFL Cup defence ends in the fourth round at the hands of Manchester City, who edge a pulsating contest 3-2 at the Etihad to advance to the quarter-finals.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup fourth-round tie with Manchester City.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup contest with Manchester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Girona
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 3-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
46.78% (![]() | 20.95% (![]() | 32.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.2% (![]() | 26.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.77% (![]() | 47.22% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.6% (![]() | 12.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.71% (![]() | 38.28% (![]() |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% (![]() | 17.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% (![]() | 48.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City 46.78%
Liverpool 32.27%
Draw 20.95%
Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
2-1 @ 8.33% (![]() 3-1 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 7.98% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 6.85% (![]() 2-3 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.74% Total : 32.27% |
How you voted: Man City vs Liverpool
Manchester City
54.1%Liverpool
45.9%405
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Jul 30, 2022 5pm
Final
Liverpool
3-1
Man City
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
Semi-Finals
Man City
2-3
Liverpool
Form Guide
Build-up

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