Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 5.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 4-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.