EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 23, 2020 at 7pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
0 - 2
Brighton

Bayliss (10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jahanbakhsh (57'), Mac Allister (75')

Graham Potter: 'Second-string have earned right to face Manchester United'

A Seagulls side showing 11 changes from the weekend beat Preston in the Carabao Cup third round.

Sep 23, 22:19

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
42.89%	25.84%	31.28%

Both teams to score 53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5%

50.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57%

72.43%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6%

23.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61%

57.39%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93%

30.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.79%

66.21%

Score Analysis

Preston North End 42.89%

Brighton & Hove Albion 31.28%

Draw 25.84%

Preston North End	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.89%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.28%