EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
1 - 2
Colchester

Ahadme (90+5' pen.)
May (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tovide (17'), Cooper (43')
Tovide (45+1'), Mingi (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Cambridge United and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Forest Green 5-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Colchester United
39.33% ( 0.56)	25.9% ( 0.16)	34.76% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09% (

-0.77)

49.9% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

-0.69)

71.89% (

0.69)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

-0.05)

24.95% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42% (

-0.07)

59.58% (

0.07)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

-0.79)

27.54% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95% (

-1.03)

63.05% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 39.33%

Colchester United 34.76%

Draw 25.9%

Cambridge United	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.33%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.76%