League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport2 - 1Colchester
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Colchester United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Newport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 5-4 Notts County
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Colchester United |
36.72% ( -0.72) | 26.64% ( 0.16) | 36.64% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
