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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Colchester United |
36.72% ( -0.72) | 26.64% ( 0.16) | 36.64% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.13% ( -0.64) | 52.87% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.52% ( -0.55) | 74.48% ( 0.55) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% ( -0.73) | 27.79% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% ( -0.94) | 63.38% ( 0.94) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( 0.03) | 27.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( 0.03) | 63.43% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |