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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Colchester United |
33.98% ( 0.01) | 25.81% | 40.2% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( 0) | 49.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( 0) | 71.66% ( -0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( 0) | 27.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( 0.01) | 63.5% ( -0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% ( -0) | 24.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.22% ( -0) | 58.78% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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