Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.