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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge

Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Okenabirhie (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wigan
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Cambridge United

 Burton Albion have looked a much-improved side in recent weeks, but Cambridge United have picked up some decent results this season, drawing at Derby County in their last away match. As such, we expect the spoils to be shared on Monday in what is likely to be a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
42.41% (0.7 0.7) 26.83% (0.25 0.25) 30.76% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-1.149 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (-1.294 -1.29)54.68% (1.293 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (-1.084 -1.08)76.01% (1.082 1.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)25.5% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-0.307 -0.31)60.35% (0.305 0.31)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-1.335 -1.34)32.57% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-1.523 -1.52)69.1% (1.521 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 42.4%
    Cambridge United 30.76%
    Draw 26.83%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
69.1%
Draw
23.5%
Cambridge United
7.4%
81
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
1-0
Cambridge
Helm (28')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101
> League One Full Table


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