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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge

Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Cambridge United

Burton Albion have looked a much-improved side in recent weeks, but Cambridge United have picked up some decent results this season, drawing at Derby County in their last away match. As such, we expect the spoils to be shared on Monday in what is likely to be a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
42.41% (0.7 0.7) 26.83% (0.25 0.25) 30.76% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-1.149 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (-1.294 -1.29)54.68% (1.293 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (-1.084 -1.08)76.01% (1.082 1.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)25.5% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-0.307 -0.31)60.35% (0.305 0.31)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-1.335 -1.34)32.57% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-1.523 -1.52)69.1% (1.521 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 42.4%
    Cambridge United 30.76%
    Draw 26.83%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
Draw
Cambridge United
Burton Albion
69.1%
Draw
23.5%
Cambridge United
7.4%
81
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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