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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge

Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Cambridge United

Burton Albion have looked a much-improved side in recent weeks, but Cambridge United have picked up some decent results this season, drawing at Derby County in their last away match. As such, we expect the spoils to be shared on Monday in what is likely to be a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
42.41% (0.7 0.7) 26.83% (0.25 0.25) 30.76% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-1.149 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (-1.294 -1.29)54.68% (1.293 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (-1.084 -1.08)76.01% (1.082 1.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)25.5% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-0.307 -0.31)60.35% (0.305 0.31)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-1.335 -1.34)32.57% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-1.523 -1.52)69.1% (1.521 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 42.4%
    Cambridge United 30.76%
    Draw 26.83%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
69.1%
Draw
23.5%
Cambridge United
7.4%
81
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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