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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
42.41% ( 0.7) | 26.83% ( 0.25) | 30.76% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 50.23% ( -1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% ( -1.29) | 54.68% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.99% ( -1.08) | 76.01% ( 1.08) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( -0.22) | 25.5% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( -0.31) | 60.35% ( 0.31) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( -1.34) | 32.57% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -1.52) | 69.1% ( 1.52) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |