EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Colchester2 - 1MK Dons
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Colchester United and MK Dons.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
31.55% ( -1.3) | 24.44% ( -0.55) | 44.02% ( 1.85) |
Both teams to score 58.38% ( 1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.73% ( 2.03) | 44.27% ( -2.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.36% ( 1.94) | 66.65% ( -1.94) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% ( 0.18) | 26.8% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.91% ( 0.23) | 62.09% ( -0.23) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% ( 1.7) | 20.24% ( -1.7) |