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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
33.78% ( -0.04) | 26.42% ( 0.01) | 39.8% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.76% ( -0.05) | 52.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.05% ( -0.04) | 73.95% ( 0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( -0.05) | 29.29% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% ( -0.06) | 65.26% ( 0.07) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% ( -0.01) | 25.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% ( -0.01) | 60.71% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.78% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
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