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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Walsall |
52.63% ( -0.13) | 22.81% ( 0.07) | 24.55% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.36% ( -0.29) | 41.64% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.96% ( -0.29) | 64.04% ( 0.3) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% ( -0.15) | 15.86% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.93% ( -0.27) | 45.07% ( 0.28) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -0.11) | 30.45% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( -0.13) | 66.65% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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