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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
MK Dons

Hippolyte (11'), Maycock (90', 90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Walsall
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 MK Dons

 Both teams will need to turn up for the big occasion and bring their 'A' game for what could prove to be an entertaining contest on Saturday. Although MK Dons look as if they are beginning to turn a corner, Wimbledon have looked strong for the vast majority of this season and they have our vote to claim the bragging rights and prevail in this derby showdown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
35.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 25.34% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 39.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.43% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.064 -0.06)47.32% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)69.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)25.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)60.88% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)23.85% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.47%
    MK Dons 39.19%
    Draw 25.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
65.0%
Draw
5.0%
MK Dons
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 36
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
MK Dons
Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
O'Riley (29')

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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