MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:47:53| >> :600:322746:322746:
Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Watford logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
MK Dons

Watford
5 - 0
MK Dons

Pollock (24'), Ince (45+1', 67', 74'), Baah (64')
Sierralta (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (90'), Williams (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Watford 1-1 MK Dons (MK Dons win on penalties)

 Although Watford are two divisions higher than their opponents, the Dons do have a favourable record in recent matches against the Hornets. Additionally, considering the home side have lost their last three games in the EFL Cup, it is reasonable to assume they could struggle again on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMK Dons
35.92% (0.122 0.12) 24.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 39.9% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.16% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)41.84% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.76% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.24% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.1% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (0.074999999999996 0.07)56.95% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)21.09% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (-0.119 -0.12)53.92% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Watford 35.92%
    MK Dons 39.9%
    Draw 24.17%
WatfordDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.92%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.9%

How you voted: Watford vs MK Dons

Watford
86.5%
Draw
9.6%
MK Dons
3.8%
52
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
0-2
MK Dons
Dennis (45'), Burns (53')
O'Hora (45+5'), Devoy (76'), Oyegoke (79')
> Preview
Dec 4, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
5-0
Watford
Gayle (78'), Euell (67'), Earle (32'), Hartson (61'), Cort (15')
Aug 7, 1999 3pm
Watford
2-3
MK Dons
Kennedy (17' pen.), Ngonge (71')
Johnson (78' og.), Gayle (28'), Cort (10')
Blackwell (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!