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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Colchester United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Colchester

Harrison (89')
Williams (47'), Williams (48'), Payne (55'), Dean (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Read (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Salford City
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Colchester United

 Buoyed by their victory over Salford, Colchester will head into the Boxing Day clash with renewed belief as they look to pull clear of the danger zone. However, they take on an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of their last five League Two home games. MK Dons are currently firing on all cylinders in the league and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawColchester United
53.21% (0.315 0.31) 23.15% (-0.058 -0.06) 23.65% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.111 0.11)16.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (0.201 0.2)46.3% (-0.202 -0.2)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.223 -0.22)32.53% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (-0.25 -0.25)69.05% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.21%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 23.15%
MK DonsDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Colchester

MK Dons
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Colchester
2-3
MK Dons
Taylor (10', 13')
Ihionvien (42'), Fevrier (45+2'), Chilvers (67'), Tchamadeu (81'), Egbo (85')
Eisa (8'), Gilbey (88'), Dennis (90+10')
Eisa (45+5'), Harvie (82'), Gilbey (84'), Grant (90+6')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
2-0
MK Dons
Szmodics (2'), Kent (47')
Kent (41'), Norris (92')

Agard (34'), Walker (87')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
MK Dons
0-1
Colchester

Pawlett (67'), D'Ath (89'), Gilbey (90')
Prosser (11')
Nouble (88'), Lapslie (90')
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
Colchester
0-1
MK Dons

Lapslie (39')
Alli (44')
McFadzean (28'), Potter (38')
Nov 29, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
6-0
Colchester
Alli (11'), Afobe (37', 45', 58'), Reeves (67' pen.), Hodson (91')

Fox (33'), Kpekawa (52')
Packwood (67')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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