MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 11:00:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Colchester United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Colchester

Harrison (89')
Williams (47'), Williams (48'), Payne (55'), Dean (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Read (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Colchester United

Buoyed by their victory over Salford, Colchester will head into the Boxing Day clash with renewed belief as they look to pull clear of the danger zone. However, they take on an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of their last five League Two home games. MK Dons are currently firing on all cylinders in the league and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawColchester United
53.21% (0.315 0.31) 23.15% (-0.058 -0.06) 23.65% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.111 0.11)16.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (0.201 0.2)46.3% (-0.202 -0.2)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.223 -0.22)32.53% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (-0.25 -0.25)69.05% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.21%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 23.15%
MK DonsDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Colchester

MK Dons
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Colchester
2-3
MK Dons
Taylor (10', 13')
Ihionvien (42'), Fevrier (45+2'), Chilvers (67'), Tchamadeu (81'), Egbo (85')
Eisa (8'), Gilbey (88'), Dennis (90+10')
Eisa (45+5'), Harvie (82'), Gilbey (84'), Grant (90+6')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
2-0
MK Dons
Szmodics (2'), Kent (47')
Kent (41'), Norris (92')

Agard (34'), Walker (87')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
MK Dons
0-1
Colchester

Pawlett (67'), D'Ath (89'), Gilbey (90')
Prosser (11')
Nouble (88'), Lapslie (90')
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
Nov 29, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
6-0
Colchester
Alli (11'), Afobe (37', 45', 58'), Reeves (67' pen.), Hodson (91')

Fox (33'), Kpekawa (52')
Packwood (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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