Forest Green performed excellently in the group stage of this competition last season and they will be determined to end their losing streak on their home patch on Tuesday.
Despite competing one division below their forthcoming opponents, the hosts arguably have greater strength in depth in attack to call upon, and we can envisage this helping them beat Shrewsbury.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.02) 
