Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
46.11% ( -0.39) | 25.72% ( -0.04) | 28.17% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.56% ( 0.43) | 51.44% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.75% ( 0.38) | 73.25% ( -0.37) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( 0) | 22.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.26% ( 0) | 55.74% ( 0) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.2% ( 0.57) | 32.79% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% ( 0.63) | 69.36% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |